Jaquel Spivey (A Strange Loop) 9/2 Is that enough to win, Ilana? Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical, Sharon D Clarke,Caroline, or ChangeCarmen Cusack,Flying Over SunsetSutton Foster,The Music ManJoaquina Kalukango,Paradise SquareMare Winningham,Girl From the North Country. 2022 Tony Nominations Preview and Predictions: The Musicals - AwardsWatch Brown,for colored girls who have considered suicide/when the rainbow is enufSam Mendes,The Lehman TrilogyNeil Pepe,American BuffaloLes Waters,Dana H. Why:Id love for Blain-Cruz to get recognition for this femme, maximalist treatment of Wilder, or for Brown to win for emphasizing the choreo in choreopoem, but the Tonys love a technically dazzling Brit, so Mendes it is. Why:I imagine voters will go with the Best Play favorite, which did manage to evoke many eras of financial history within a single office set and those shifts in lighting. She's likely to grab a fourth this year, though her take onCompany is divisive enough for someone elselike Brackett or Wheeldonto nab the prize. "The Music Man" is the definition of a good old-fashioned BROADWAY show, with over-the-top choreography, lush sets and a happy ending, while "Caroline, Or Change" was smaller, poignant and impactful. Jane Lynch (Funny Girl) 6/1 Christina Anderson, Craig Lucas and Larry Kirwan. 2023 Variety Media, LLC. Why:Sharon D Clarke was incredible inCaroline, or Change, and Joaquina Kalukango is the one great thing inParadise Square, but Im keeping this fun/upsetting by goingagainstmy heart and acknowledging that Sutton Foster won the Drama League performance award and people adore her. Among musicals, the award for lead actor has a clearer frontrunner than one for actress. BEST MUSICAL 2022 Tony Award Winners Predictions - Vulture So while I realize Ilana would like to take some time to talk about "Frozen," which is not nominated since it closed several seasons ago, I think we should get into it. Jiyoun Chang, "for colored girls who have considered suicide/when the rainbow is enuf", Jane Cox, Macbeth Yi Zhao, "The Skin of Our Teeth". A Strange Loop 4/1 Why:The Lehman Trilogymanaged to get all three of its lead actors nominated at once, glutting the category, and it was a major ticket seller on Broadway last fall when not much else was, so its the front-runner here. [UPDATING LIVE BLOG], I'm a Celebrity Get Me Out of Here! Winners List: All 22 Champs in Chronological Order [PHOTOS], Emmy spotlight: 'Yellowjackets' costume designer Amy Parris deserves first nomination for that gnarly winter gear, American Idol Top 12: Who gave the best performance on Rock and Roll Hall of Fame Night? Joyce and Chris tackle the highs and lows of each show and see how the winners aged. I think "MJ" may just beat, er, them. The ceremony itself will be held at Radio City Music Hall in New York on June 12. The race:Even people who don't loveCompany agree the newly gay panic number "Getting Married Today" is a winner. Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys,. Simon Hale, "Girl From The North Country", Jason Michael Webb and David Holcenberg, "MJ". This was an incredibly solid year for plays, and I wouldn't be disappointed with any of these taking home the award.